Dan Maxwell

Daniel Maxwell

President | Executive Scientist

Daniel Maxwell is the president of KaDSci, LLC, a veteran owned decision sciences research and analysis boutique. Over a twenty-year research career, Dan has completed a significant body of work and published in the areas of military operations research, simulation, military transformation, C4ISR analyses, command and control, and decision-making. Dr. Maxwell has served on the Defense Science Board Task Force on Intelligence, the Board of Directors of the Military Operations Research Society, and maintains affiliate faculty status at George Mason University. Over his career Dan has conducted key analyses in support of two DoD Quadrennial Defense Reviews, led transformational analysis efforts in support of the IRS, FBI Intelligence Directorate, and other Government organizations. Prior to forming KaDSci, Dan was a Senior Principal at Innovative Decisions Inc., Executive Vice President of Evidence based Research, and an Associate Department Head at the MITRE Corporation. Dan holds a Ph.D. in Information Technology (with emphasis in Operations Research) from George Mason University,an MBA from Long Island University, and a BS in Criminal Justice from Rochester

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Institute of Technology.Prior to becoming analyst Dan served the first half of his Military career as a military police officer, completing Command and General Staff College, Ranger & Airborne schools as part of his military training.

Selected Publications

Maxwell, Daniel & Tucker, Christopher, "Redefining PED: A Step Toward More Robust Intelligence Capabilities", in US Geospatial Intelligence Foundation Monograph on Issues in Intelligence

Maxwell, Daniel & Carley, Kathleen "Principles for Effectively Representing Heterogeneous Populations in Multi-Agent Simulations", in Complex Systems in Knowledge Based Environments, Tolk, A. (editor) Springer-Verlag, 2009.

Maxwell, Daniel "Assessing Instability in the Information Age: Managing Overwhelming Information with Simple Models", Presented at ISMOR, Winchester, UK, August 2004.

Maxwell, Daniel "Revolutions in Military Affairs, New Measures of Effectiveness, and Good Old Fundamental Objectives", Phalanx, Vol. 32, No. 1, March 1999.

Maxwell, Daniel, "What Every Analyst Should Know About Bayesian Networks", Phalanx, Vol. 31, No. 1, March 1998.

Maxwell, Daniel, "Supporting Decision-Makers in Future Conflicts: A Decision Theoretic Perspective, Analytical Approaches to the Study of Future Conflict, Woodcock & Davis ed., The Canadian Peacekeeping Press, 1996.

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Michael J. Kwinn Jr

Michael J. Kwinn Jr

Executive Scientist

Dr. Michael J. Kwinn, Jr. retired from the Army as a Lieutenant Colonel. Mike served in the Department of Systems Engineering at the United States Military Academy at West Point attaining the academic rank of Professor of Systems Engineering and served as the Deputy Department Head. Following his retirement, he worked as the Deputy Director of the System of Systems Engineering (SoSE) organization in the office of the Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology (ASA(ALT)), in the Office of the Director of the Army Material Systems Analysis Agency (AMSAA) and then as the President and CEO of the Pat Tillman Foundation. In January 2012, he returned to the Department of Systems Engineering at the US Military Academy. Mike earned his undergraduate degree at USMA. He received a Master of Science from the University of Arizona, a Master of Arts in National Security and Strategic Studies (with Distinction) from the Naval War College, and a PhD in Management Science from the University of Texas at Austin. He is a Past President of the Military Operations Research Society (MORS), served on the Board of Directors for the Hudson Valley Chapter of the Make-a-Wish Foundation and is the President of the Friends4michael Foundation which is named in honor of his son who passed away from a brain tumor at age 14.

Andrew Loerch

Andrew Loerch

Executive Scientist

Dr. Andrew Loerch is an Associate Professor and the Associate Chair of the Department of Systems Engineering and Operations Research at George Mason University where he directs the track in Military Applications of Operations Research in the masters program in Operations Research. He holds a Master of Science in Operations Research from the Naval Postgraduate School, and a PhD in Operations Research from Cornell University. He is also a retired Army Colonel with 26 years of active federal service of which 15 years was spent as a military operations research analyst. Dr. Loerch is a Past President and Fellow of the Military Operations Research Society, is an associate editor of Military Operations Research, and is the editor of the book, Methods for Conducting Military Operational Analysis He recently received the Vance R. Wanner Memorial Award for outstanding contributions to the field of Defense Analysis. He is an avid cyclist and senior softball player, the principle bassoonist of the Manassas Symphony Orchestra, and a diehard fan of the New York Yankees.

Edwin Curle

Edwin Curle

Principal Scientist

Ed Curle is a Senior Principal Analyst at KaDSci. Ed has over twenty years of experience as a policy analyst and strategic planner. He has worked as Special Assistant to the Commanding General of the Army Materiel Command (AMC) including liaison to the Joint Simulation System (JSIMS) project. Mr Curle led the development of strategic plans for large organizations (Army Materiel Command’s Vision 2000) and master plans for individual programs, such as the Army Geospatial Data Integrated Master Plan. He has reviewed and managed requirements and funding for major Army modeling and simulation programs to include Cost Analysis Models of Force Structure/Sustainment. Ed was an active U.S. representative to various international modeling and simulation working groups: NATO, The Technical Cooperation Program (TTCP), and the Quadripartite Alliance. Ed holds a Master of Public Administration from Harvard University, a Master of Arts in Economics from the University of Minnesota, and a Bachelor of Arts in Mathematics (Honors) from the University of Wyoming. Additionally, Mr. Curle has completed the Executive Program for Senior Officials in National Security at Harvard University, and is Ph.D. Candidate (ABD) in Economics at the University of Minnesota.

Edwin Curle

Anamaria Berea

Principal Scientist

Dr. Anamaria Berea is a postdoctoral fellow with the Center for Complexity in Business. She has a PhD in computational social science from George Mason University and a PhD in International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies in Romania. Her past research includes agent-based models of company growth, information crowdsourcing, prediction markets, Bayesian networks, social network analysis, large scale ("big data") analysis, text and sentiment analysis, and framing qualitative into quantitative modeling. She is currently researching diffusion of fashion, social media impact on crowd-funding success and the emergence of language and communication insocio-biological networks. She is a Teradata University Network Faculty Award Winner and her work has been published in Decision Analytics, AAAI Proceedings, Quantitative Finance, Handbook of Human Computation and Journal of Strategic Security. Her research has been supported by grants from ONR, IARPA, DARPA and the National Academies of Sciences.

Rob Alexander

Rob Alexander

Principal Scientist

Rob Alexander is a Senior Analyst at KaDSci with over twenty-five years of experience in developing, using, managing and analyzing results of large simulations and systems of simulations and planning tools. Dr. Alexander served 23 years in the U.S. Army as an Armor officer and as an Operations Analyst. His industry projects at Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) and KaDSci include development of simulations and frameworks for distributed simulations, analysis of various defense systems using distributed simulation, Social Network Analysis and Crowd-Sourcing as intelligence analysis tools, a National Cancer Institute initiative to integrate BioMedical Informatics systems nation-wide, and development of a Human Resources tool for the IRS to compare workload with available workforce. Dr. Alexander holds a B.S. from the United States Military Academy, West Point, NY, an M.S. in Operations Analysis and a Ph.D. in Computer Science from Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey CA. He is a professor at Montgomery College and an adjunct professor at George Mason University. His research interests include simulation of combat operations, computational geometry, and artificial intelligence.

Paul G.Foley

Paul G. Foley

Principal Scientist

Paul G. Foley has over forty-five years experience in mapping, charting, geodesy, terrain analysis, modeling and simulation, and geospatial intelligence. A twenty-five year Army Corps of Engineers Officer, he served tours of duty in combat and topographic engineering was the Deputy I Corps (Republic of Korea / U.S.) Group Engineer and on the CINCPAC Special Weapons staff Cruise Missile Support Activity supported Tomahawk Land Attack Missile system Operational Evaluation. As a Weapons System Support Officer with the Defense Mapping Agency, he coordinated development of the U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, and New Zealand sourced Digital Chart of the World and various Vector Product Format based product development. At MITRE and Quantum Research, Paul supported the OSD Defense Modeling and Simulation Office in developing the DoD and NATO M&S Master Plans and environmental representation technology initiatives including International Standards (ISO/IEC) and NATO STANAG development. As a member of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) government staff, he led the Terrain Modeling and Simulation Executive Agent (MSEA) Office and coordinated NGA internal M&S and served as Deputy for the OUSD(I) Defense Intelligence M&S Community and Working Group Chair of the Defense Intelligence M&S Collaboration Group (NGA, National Security Agency, National Reconnaissance Office, Defense Intelligence Agency, and the four Service Intelligence Staffs).

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Paul was a member of the Editorial Board for the DoD M&S Journal and is currently Chair of the Simulation Interoperability Standards Organization, Standards Activity Committee, Environmental Data Representation Standards Product Support Group. He holds Masters Degrees in Photogrammetry from Purdue University, Systems Management from the University of Southern California and has faculty experience at the United States Military Academy and the University of Hawaii. He is a graduate of the Army War College and Command and General Staff College and has Army service awards including the Legion of Merit and Silver de Fleury Medal from the Corps of Engineers Regiment.

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Annie Patenaude

Annie Patenaude

Principal Scientist

Annie Patenaude is a retired Army Field Artillery Officer and Mathematician. After her initial Army operational assignments, Annie taught Mathematics at West Point and served in Operations Research positions in the Pentagon. She has subject matter expertise in Modeling and Simulation Policy, Test and Evaluation, and Training Assessments. She is often sought for her Strategic Planning experience and knowledge of the analysis efforts in the Department of Defense. Annie is Fellow of the Society in the Military Operations Research Society and a Member of the Operations team for the Interservice/Industry Training, Simulation, and Education Conference. She holds a Bachelor of Science and a Masters of Arts degree in Mathematics.

Patricia H. McGuire

Patricia H. McGuire

Principal Scientist

Patricia McGuire is a Senior Analyst at KaDSci LLC. Patricia's experience includes over 25 years using research, analysis, and statistics to make key business decisions. She served as the IRS Deputy Director for Research, Analysis, and Statistics (RAS), where she advised the Commissioner on a variety of business issues, provided the analytics for business decisions, and set priorities for research studies and budgets. Besides employing traditional statistical techniques, Ms. McGuire led projects which introduced new analytical methodologies to the Service. Examples include Social Networking (link analysis including visualization) software, “agent-based” models, segmentation approaches, and behavioral economics. Patricia created and led the formulation of a human capital attrition and migration model. She supervised the research and analysis for the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Additionally, she answered and assured oversight organizations and stakeholders, and responded to Congressional requests. Ms. McGuire also served as the Director, Office Program Evaluation and Risk Analysis, leading program evaluations requested by the Commissioner and advising Commissioner Task Forces. She taught several seminars on Enterprise Risk Management and Risk Assessment internally to IRS. Recently, Ms. McGuire provided an overview of the IRS to the Chinese Taxation Authority and authored a report on the U.S. taxation process for the Chinese government. This report was influential for Chinese officials responsible for implementing new taxation authorities by 2016. Patricia holds a BA from Loyola University and has completed academic work on a Masters in IT Management at George Washington University.

David Frederick Davis

David Frederick Davis

Principal Scientist

Professor Davis is now retired from both the U.S. Army and George Mason University. Upon his retirement from the Corps of Engineers, Professor Davis established the Peace Operations Policy Program. Professor Davis co-developed a workshop designed to bring diverse groups together to solve problems in a participatory, facilitated, consensus-building environment, which was used in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Cote d’Ivoire and Bosnia. He has served as facilitator and adjunct faculty for the U.S.-German Marshall Center Crisis Management Seminar Series given throughout Eastern Europe, the Baltic States and Central Asia, and as a professional adjunct to the Institute for Defense Analyses. In particular, he has supported both the Marshall Center and the U.S. Office of the Secretary of Defense in facilitating Crisis Management, Cross Border Security and Peace Operations Planning in Moldova, Armenia, Kazakstan, Kyrgystan, Romania, Bulgaria and the successor states of the Former Yugoslavian Republic. In the summer of 2003 he evaluated the historical archives of SFOR and KFOR under sponsorship from the NATO Consultation, Command and Control Agency. During the spring and summer of 2004 he was on sabbatical from GMU working in the Coalition Provisional Authority, and later U.S. Embassy, Baghdad.

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In Baghdad he was the lead risk and conflict analyst for the Office of Policy Planning and Analysis, and later the lead strategic planner for the Iraq Reconstruction Management Office in the U.S. Embassy. He continues working on several simulation and modeling activities for complex social systems. He is currently focusing on peace operations metrics and determining the relative worth of activities within peace operations. This research is being developed under the name of Value Focused Metrics©. He employed Value Focused Metrics© techniques while developing and conducting a series of strategic games on East Africa during his most recent sabattical with U.S. Africa Command in Stuttgart, Germany.

Professor Davis lectured frequently on the Theory of Peace Operations and Measuring Success in Peace Operations. He was an annual speaker at the Hiroshima Peacebuilding Center as well as the U.N.-affiliated University for Peace in Costa Rica, where he was a Visiting Professor. Professor Davis holds a M.S. in Operations Research (Honors), a M.S. in Applied Mathematics from the Naval Postgraduate School, a B.S. in Mineral Engineering Mathematics from the Colorado School of Mines, and has Ph.D. course work in Information Technology at George Mason University. In addition to being the founder of the Masters of Science in Peace Operations at George Mason University’s School of Public Policy, Profesor Davis is a founding member of the Cornwallis Group

Selected Publications and Presentations:
Journal Articles:

“Modeling Peacebuilding in Nigeria,” Global Studies Bulletin, Spring 2007, Vol. 3, No. 1, George Mason University

“Reconstruction in Iraq: How much is needed and how can it be measured?” Global Studies Bulletin, Fall 2005, Vol. 1, No. 1, George Mason University

Selected Conference Articles and Reports:

Value Focused Metrics, 28 ISMOR, 2011 (Best Paper Award)

“Operations Research Support to a Civilian Headquarters,” Cornwallis IX: Analysis for Stabilization and Counter Terrorist Operations, Canadian Peacekeeping Press, Forthcoming 2006

A Pound of Stability or Five Feet of Reconstruction? Modeling and Assessment of Stabilization session of INFORMS 2005, November, 2005

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Dustin Malinowski

Dustin Malinowski

Multimedia Design

Dustin Malinowski received his BFA in Media Arts & Animation from the Art Institute of Washington DC. He has nearly 8 years of experience providing multimedia solutions for government entities including DoD, DoJ, IRS and VA. Working with KaDSci, Dustin has collaborated with both public and private clients to design and develop an array of user interfaces, presentations, infographics, webpages and various graphic elements.

Marty Sinclair

Marty Sinclair

Senior Developer

Marty Sinclair is a software developer specializing in user experience design and delivering browser based solutions. Ms. Sinclair developed content for America Online, working on projects like the NFL Video, 2004 Election Coverage, 2005 Super Bowl Commercials, and AOL@School. Marty left AOL to freelance, focusing on developing browser based courseware and simulation for Lockhead Martin contracts and has collaborated on social analytic applications as well as a custom project tool for the IRS. More recently, she’s been leveraging HTM5 capabilities to develop responsive apps for mobile and the web. She is committed to intuitive software and using big data on a small scale.

Anne Riegel

Anne Riegel

Director of Finance & Administration

Anne is the Director of Finance and Administration for KaDSci, LLC, and has been with the company since 2009. After graduating from the University of Massachusetts, she has acquired 21 years of experience working in the Federal, private and nonprofit sectors. She has led Nonprofit Organizations through the restructuring process and participated in international seminars on funding and organizing Nonprofits. Coupled with her training on DCAA-compliant accounting systems, and certifications in Microsoft Office products, her financial expertise and organizational skills add significant strength to the KaDSci team.